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COVID-19 cases in the states of Texas, Florida, and Arizona increased over the two weeks and three days between June 9 and June 26.

The percentage of those who tested positive for COVID-19 is also up over the past two weeks and three days in all three states.

COVID-19 deaths have declined for three consecutive weeks in Florida. Reported COVID-19 deaths declined in the most recent week in both Texas and Arizona, after seeing an increase over the three preceding weeks, though that decline may be due to reporting lags.

Hospitalizations for COVID-19 remain unchanged in Florida, but are up in Texas and Arizona, where there are significant differences by region within each state.

As a result of the increase in the number of COVID-19 cases, Texas Gov. Greg Abbott and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis on Friday rolled back some of the re-opening measures in their respective states, ordering bars to close.

The ratio between those who have tested positive for COVID-19 over the past two weeks in Texas, Florida, and Arizona and hospitalizations and deaths in those states during that time is far lower than the ratio between COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations and deaths observed in New York and New Jersey in April when those two states were the epicenter of the coronavirus pandemic.

The dramatic difference appears to be related to the fact that the number of cases have increased among younger people, who are less likely to require hospitalization and have much lower mortality rates.

Table 1 below shows the details on COVID-19 cases and testing from the beginning of the coronavirus pandemic in five states where COVID-19 cases have increased from June 9 to June 26:

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During this 17 day period, all five of these states have seen the total number of COVID-19 cases increase dramatically, ranging from about a 60 percent increase in California and North Carolina, to an 80 percent increase in Texas, to more than a 100 percent increase in Arizona and Florida.

Testing has also increased significantly in all five states. The percentage of those who tested positive has remained about the same in California (declining slightly from 5.4 percent to 5.3 percent) and North Carolina (increasing slightly from 6.9 percent to 7.0 percent), while it has increased in Texas (rising from 6.8 percent to 8.1 percent), Florida (increasing from 5.2 percent to 7.0 percent) and Arizona (which saw the biggest increase from 9.7 percent to 13.9 percent).

Earlier this month, Breitbart News reported that COVID-19 cases increased in Texas, Florida, and California between May 25 and June 9, but that the percentage of those tested who tested positive in the top three states had declined:

But a Breitbart News analysis of COVID-19 testing data over the past 15 days, as reported by the COVID Tracking Project, shows that the percentage of those who have taken the COVID-19 test since the beginning of the pandemic in California — the number-one ranked state for COVID-19 case increases over the past 14 days by the New York Times — who have tested positive has declined from 5.7 percent on May 26 to 5.4 percent on June 9, as Table 1 below illustrates.
Similarly, that percentage has dropped in Texas — the number-two ranked state for COVID-19 case increases over the past 14 days by the New York Times — from 6.9 percent on May 26 to 6.8 percent on June 9.
Florida saw that percentage drop from 5.7 percent on May 26 to 5.2 percent on June 9

While Florida, Texas, and Arizona have all experienced significant increases in the number COVID-19 cases between June 9 and June 26, the number of COVID-19 deaths in those states during that time period has not followed the same pattern seen in states such as New York and New Jersey earlier in the pandemic.

In Florida, for instance, the number of COVID-19 deaths has declined for three consecutive weeks, as Table 2 below shows:

Table 2
Covid-19 Deaths
May 30 to June 26
Week EndingFlorida DeathsTexas DeathsArizona Deaths
June 2615718462
June 19188201180
June 12203151168
June 5237162119
Sources: Florida Department of Health, Texas Department of State Health Services, Arizona Department of Health Services.

(Note: There may be a lag in reporting of deaths)

COVID-19 deaths in Texas are down from the one week high of 268 in the week ending May 15, but in the four most recent weeks they have increased from 162 in the week ending June 5 to 184 in the week ending June 26.

COVID-19 deaths in Arizona increased from 119 during the week ending June 5 to 180 during the week ending June 19, then declined to 62 during the week ending June 26, though data for the most recent week may reflect reporting lags.

Former New York Times reporter Alex Berenson commented on the latest COVID-19 data from Florida in this tweet:
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Younger people, who have much lower hospitalization and death rates, account for an increasing percentage of the number of new COVID-19 cases, as the Wall Street Journal reported:

Of Arizona’s more than 66,000 confirmed cases since the pandemic began, nearly 60% had been younger than 45 as of Friday. The Louisiana Department of Health last week announced an outbreak of more than 100 cases linked to a cluster of bars near Louisiana State University. The state is seeing a rise in cases among the 18-to-29 age group but not among those 65 and older, even as it is doing more testing in settings such as nursing homes, said Alex Billioux, assistant secretary of the state health department’s office of public health.
In California, more than 60% of the nearly 196,000 cases were under age 49, state data as of June 24 show. California Gov. Gavin Newsom last week required residents to wear masks in public. Florida reported new daily cases rose from 1,222 on May 27 to 8,933 on Thursday with a median age of 34.
COVID-19 deaths per capita in Texas, Arizona, and Florida remain below the national average of 387 per million, and well below those of New York and New Jersey, states which were the epicenter of the coronavirus pandemic in March and April.

According to Worldometers, Florida had 158 COVID-19 deaths per million, Arizona has had 217 deaths per million, and Texas has had 82 deaths per million.

In contrast, New York has had 1,611 COVID-19 deaths per million and New Jersey has had 1,699 deaths per million.


BTW, FL death /1m is 160; MI is 617 or almost 4X higher than Florida.............and has a higher unemployment rate to add to the misery......
 

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COVID-19 deaths have declined for three consecutive weeks in Florida.

How can that be!?!

Do ya reckon Governor DeSantis knew what he was talking about when he said the increase in positives was being driven by a shift in testing to young healthy low-risk non-symptomatic folks? Curiously absent from that report is the notion that the virus has "mutated" and is "targeting" the youth. :rolleyes:

The increase in cases is still pretty new, so it will take a bit more time for the lag in related deaths to play out. We'll see.
 

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Someone called in to a radio show today (I know, that proves nothing) and said a relative had been designated Covid positive without even being tested because a contact tracer for an actual Covid positive person said that's the rule. So they just assume that if you were within a few feet of someone who tested positive, you join the statistical spike along with them.
 

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^^^ Doesn't surprise me.

Trump is talking about bailing out states for COVID related expenses. Financial incentive to slap a COVID stamp on anything and everything.

Also, hospitals are paid more from Medicare when COVID is listed.

Example: "if it's a straightforward, garden-variety pneumonia that a person is admitted to the hospital for – if they're Medicare – typically, the diagnosis-related group lump sum payment would be $5,000. But if it's COVID-19 pneumonia, then it's $13,000, and if that COVID-19 pneumonia patient ends up on a ventilator, it goes up to $39,000."

Notice New York hospitals were shoving a ventilator tube down the throats of everyone, and Cuomo was screaming for more and more ventilators. At one point I think Cuomo demanded 40,000 more ventilators. Finally, Trump told him to piss off that he didn't need so many. Otherwise, they would have probably been dragging the elderly off the street to shove a tube down their throat. :rolleyes:
 

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COVID-19 deaths have declined for three consecutive weeks in Florida.

How can that be!?!

Do ya reckon Governor DeSantis knew what he was talking about when he said the increase in positives was being driven by a shift in testing to young healthy low-risk non-symptomatic folks? Curiously absent from that report is the notion that the virus has "mutated" and is "targeting" the youth. :rolleyes:

The increase in cases is still pretty new, so it will take a bit more time for the lag in related deaths to play out. We'll see.
Exactly. Here in Spokane we had far lower infection rates than Seattle. As hospitalizations fell week after week for a month, we went into Stage 2 reopening 3 weeks ago.
Then came the bad news. Hospitalizations DOUBLED as of last week. So just two weeks after we started reopening (just long enough for the virus to incubate and become serious illness) the number of seriously ill doubled. Coincidence?
That's when the governor issued his emergency masks required order :(
 

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Anyone notice that the world charts of daily cases and daily deaths also show a steady rise in daily cases since April with a corresponding lower and flat number of deaths.

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Don't tell our hysterical mask-phobic folks this; their heads will explode.............
 

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Anyone notice that the world charts of daily cases and daily deaths also show a steady rise in daily cases since April with a corresponding lower and flat number of deaths.

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Are we looking at the same charts? What I see is in that chart on the right is that during the shutdown the death rate fell off, but when you analyze the trend it shows a slow but steady steady increasing trend since mid May - and some of the biggest spikes have been in the last 2-3 weeks as we open up and people let their guard down.

Naturally the one on the left shows a steeper increase. I believe the President explained that one. The more testing we are doing the more of it we are finding. Double and triple the testing and you are going to find more of the asymptomatic infected. No surprise there. Not really an indicator of anything except increased testing since those people were just as positive before testing confirmed it as they were when tested.

Of course these graphs are also numbers for the whole world. We know that in a lot of other countries people are doing things we aren't - like wearing masks. S Korea ahd Japan have this thing WAY more under control than we do. Their death rates and hospitalization rates continue to decline - way faster than ours. What do those graphs look like for just the USA? I'm betting that if I take the time to go look it up the left graph looks worse without the numbers from the rest of the world to "buffer" the increases we're seeing.

I know that locally our deaths haven't spiked - yet. But hospitalizations have - sharply. As in doubling in one week. Deaths usually follow hospitalizations with a bit of a lag - or have so far anyway. So lets give it another week or two before we pop the corks and start hanging the bunting, shall we?

BTW, does that analysis qualify as a hysterical exploding head?
 

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Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) said Tuesday that his state is “not going back” on reopening as thousands of new COVID-19 cases continue to be reported every day.

“We're not going back, closing things,” he said. “I don't think that that's really what's driving it. People going to a business is not what's driving it. I think when you see the younger folks — I think a lot of it is more just social interactions, so that's natural.”

"We're open. We know who we need to protect. Most of the folks in those younger demographics, although we want them to be mindful of what's going on, are just simply much much less at risk than the folks who are in those older age groups," he said.

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I think DeSantis is right on target. Help the vulnerable elderly who need it. Leave younger low-risk folks be. Herd immunity.
 

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You only have to listen to the Florida Governor for about 30 seconds to ascertain that he is a dumb, dumb ass.

It's not just speed that kills.........stupidity kills. He's killing people........for politics.

He's going to have to reverse course when his hospitals are overwhelmed. He'll have to beg for help from the people who handled the virus intelligently.
 
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You only have to listen to the Florida Governor for about 30 seconds to ascertain that he is a dumb, dumb ass.

It's not just speed that kills.........stupidity kills. He's killing people........for politics.

He's going to have to reverse course when his hospitals are overwhelmed. He'll have to beg for help from the people who handled the virus intelligently.
Sort of like Trump with his inflated ego.
 

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Sort of like Trump with his inflated ego.
Worse than Trump.

Trump has his experts out constantly telling people how to behave responsibly.

I don't see that from the FL Gov.

I just see massive stupid with no truth.
 
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